Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 50.0% vs Aho 51.3% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Bonino leads 18-9 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 87.5%
Defensive zone
Bonino 58.9%
Neutral zone
Aho 60.1%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 65.3%
34.7%
65.3%
Bonino
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
9
(27 meetings)
18
9
Bonino
Aho
Last 10: Bonino 5-5 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
5
5
Bonino
Aho
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
5
2
Bonino
Aho
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
8
2
Bonino
Aho
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (8,315)
50.1% (6,415)
+0.5%
Power Play
54.1% (972)
59.1% (1,297)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (1,693)
46.0% (446)
-1.4%
On power play, Aho has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Bonino is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,917).
Bonino shoots left. Aho is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (5,145).
Home / Away
Bonino
Aho
Home
51.2% (5,507)
52.4% (4,199)
Away
48.8% (5,480)
50.2% (3,959)
By Period
Bonino
Aho
P1
50.6%
51.2%
P2
48.5%
52.1%
P3
51.1%
50.8%
OT
45.7%
48.9%
Final 5 min
50.6%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 09:39 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 13:40 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 13:29 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 13:12 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 2 | 13:32 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 2 | 10:16 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 1 | 12:34 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 14, 2022 | 1 | 09:38 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 3 | 16:06 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 30, 2022 | 2 | 09:06 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 22, 2021 | 2 | 17:21 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 18, 2020 | 2 | 03:45 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 3 | 06:04 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 2 | 06:50 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 2 | 04:29 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 1 | 09:38 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 29, 2019 | 1 | 05:17 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 3 | 06:38 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 3 | 00:15 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |