Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 50.8% vs Aho 53.8% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 84.5%
Defensive zone
Bonino 80.4%
Neutral zone
Bonino 56.2%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 68.3%
31.7%
68.3%
Bonino
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Bonino
Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
1
2
Bonino
Aho
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
0
Bonino
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (305)
51.2% (785)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (101)
57.9% (57)
-9.4%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Bonino is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (253).
Bonino shoots left. Aho is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (649).
Home / Away
Bonino
Aho
Home
53.1% (177)
54.9% (548)
Away
49.3% (229)
53.3% (507)
By Period
Bonino
Aho
P1
55.9%
52.8%
P2
49.6%
58.9%
P3
47.6%
50.6%
OT
100.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
42.7%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.0%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 09:39 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 13:40 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 13:29 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 2, 2023 | 3 | 13:12 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |