Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 51.6% vs Aho 48.7% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 58.5%
Defensive zone
Bonino 86.7%
Neutral zone
Bonino 69.8%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 70.4%
70.4%
29.6%
Bonino
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Bonino
Aho
Last 9: Bonino 7-2 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
0
Bonino
Aho
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
2
0
Bonino
Aho
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
4
2
Bonino
Aho
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (836)
47.4% (953)
+5.2%
Power Play
51.8% (110)
58.0% (174)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (186)
41.6% (77)
+6.2%
On power play, Aho has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Bonino is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (656).
Bonino shoots left. Aho is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (751).
Home / Away
Bonino
Aho
Home
50.8% (547)
50.2% (609)
Away
52.6% (585)
46.9% (595)
By Period
Bonino
Aho
P1
56.2%
48.7%
P2
48.9%
50.2%
P3
50.9%
47.0%
OT
33.3%
41.7%
Final 5 min
53.3%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.8%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2019 | 3 | 06:38 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 3 | 00:15 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 2 | 19:50 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 2 | 17:02 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 9, 2019 | 1 | 14:29 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 13, 2019 | 2 | 13:43 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 13, 2019 | 2 | 02:48 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 13, 2019 | 1 | 08:04 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 13, 2019 | 1 | 03:29 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |