Scouting Report
Sheldon Dries holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Bonino wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Dries shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 48.5% vs Dries 49.9% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dries 74.7%
Defensive zone
Bonino 57.9%
Neutral zone
Dries 54.3%
Result
Sheldon Dries favored at 55.7%
44.3%
55.7%
Bonino
Dries
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Bonino
Dries
Last 6: Bonino 5-1 Dries
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dries
0
1
Bonino
Dries
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
0
Bonino
Dries
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
4
0
Bonino
Dries
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Dries
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (324)
49.1% (401)
-1.0%
Power Play
57.9% (38)
55.0% (60)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (88)
50.0% (10)
-5.7%
On penalty kill, Dries has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dries shoots left. Bonino is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (272).
Bonino shoots left. Dries is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (303).
Home / Away
Bonino
Dries
Home
52.0% (244)
54.3% (265)
Away
43.7% (206)
44.2% (206)
By Period
Bonino
Dries
P1
48.0%
45.8%
P2
42.9%
54.3%
P3
53.9%
49.0%
Final 5 min
52.4%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.2%
Dries
40.0%▼
49.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2022 | 3 | 10:44 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 27, 2022 | 3 | 08:14 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 27, 2022 | 3 | 06:22 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 27, 2022 | 2 | 15:49 | Offensive | Sheldon Dries |
| Nov 27, 2022 | 1 | 14:53 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 27, 2022 | 1 | 07:26 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |