Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.0% vs 49.3%). Look for Bonino on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 50.0% vs Dries 49.4% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dries 52.5%
Defensive zone
Bonino 74.1%
Neutral zone
Bonino 56.3%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 58.3%
58.3%
41.7%
Bonino
Dries
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Bonino
Dries
Last 9: Bonino 6-3 Dries
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Dries
0
2
Bonino
Dries
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Bonino
Dries
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
5
0
Bonino
Dries
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Dries
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (8,315)
48.5% (544)
+2.1%
Power Play
54.1% (972)
54.3% (70)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (1,693)
51.4% (37)
-6.8%
On penalty kill, Dries has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dries shoots left. Bonino is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,917).
Bonino shoots left. Dries is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (426).
Home / Away
Bonino
Dries
Home
51.2% (5,507)
52.6% (363)
Away
48.8% (5,480)
45.1% (288)
By Period
Bonino
Dries
P1
50.6%
46.7%
P2
48.5%
51.4%
P3
51.1%
49.5%
Final 5 min
50.6%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Dries
40.0%▼
49.0%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2022 | 3 | 10:44 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 27, 2022 | 3 | 08:14 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 27, 2022 | 3 | 06:22 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 27, 2022 | 2 | 15:49 | Offensive | Sheldon Dries |
| Nov 27, 2022 | 1 | 14:53 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 27, 2022 | 1 | 07:26 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 2 | 02:21 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Feb 23, 2019 | 2 | 01:55 | Offensive | Sheldon Dries |
| Jan 21, 2019 | 2 | 18:31 | Defensive | Sheldon Dries |