Scouting Report
Steven Stamkos holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 50.8% vs Stamkos 55.2% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stamkos 81.1%
Defensive zone
Bonino 81.7%
Neutral zone
Bonino 53.4%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 56.8%
43.2%
56.8%
Bonino
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Bonino
Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Bonino
Stamkos
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
0
Bonino
Stamkos
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
1
Bonino
Stamkos
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (305)
55.9% (499)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (101)
58.3% (12)
-9.8%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Bonino is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (153).
Bonino shoots left. Stamkos is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (486).
Home / Away
Bonino
Stamkos
Home
53.1% (177)
55.3% (349)
Away
49.3% (229)
56.9% (288)
By Period
Bonino
Stamkos
P1
55.9%
57.0%
P2
49.6%
59.2%
P3
47.6%
51.5%
OT
100.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
42.7%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.0%
Stamkos
54.0%▬
55.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2023 | 2 | 17:09 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 2 | 16:51 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 2 | 10:00 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 2 | 08:34 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |