Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 50.0% vs Thompson 42.8% (+7.4%)
H2H factor
Thompson leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Thompson 65.9%
Defensive zone
Bonino 58.0%
Neutral zone
Thompson 54.1%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 53.9%
46.1%
53.9%
Bonino
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Bonino
Thompson
Last 10: Bonino 5-5 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
1
4
Bonino
Thompson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
4
1
Bonino
Thompson
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
2
Bonino
Thompson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (8,315)
42.9% (3,521)
+7.7%
Power Play
54.1% (972)
46.8% (372)
+7.3%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (1,693)
33.6% (265)
+11.0%
On penalty kill, Bonino has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Bonino is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,070).
Bonino shoots left. Thompson is 40.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,011).
Home / Away
Bonino
Thompson
Home
51.2% (5,507)
44.9% (2,115)
Away
48.8% (5,480)
40.3% (2,043)
By Period
Bonino
Thompson
P1
50.6%
44.5%
P2
48.5%
43.6%
P3
51.1%
40.2%
OT
45.7%
36.4%
Final 5 min
50.6%
41.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 15:10 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 2 | 13:26 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 1 | 10:33 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 1 | 04:59 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 2 | 11:23 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 2 | 08:55 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 2 | 05:36 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 3 | 16:01 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 3 | 15:53 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 3 | 12:59 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 1 | 06:03 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 2, 2021 | 3 | 17:59 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |