Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Bonino on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Bonino wins 56.1% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 51.2% vs Thompson 41.2% (+11.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 65.8%
Defensive zone
Bonino 58.6%
Neutral zone
Thompson 52.9%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Bonino
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Bonino
Thompson
Last 5: Bonino 2-3 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
2
Bonino
Thompson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
2
1
Bonino
Thompson
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (777)
40.6% (801)
+11.1%
Power Play
60.0% (50)
44.7% (103)
+15.3%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (98)
31.0% (71)
+12.9%
On power play, Bonino has a +15.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Bonino is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (296).
Bonino shoots left. Thompson is 40.1% vs left-shot opponents (724).
Home / Away
Bonino
Thompson
Home
48.2% (461)
43.2% (507)
Away
54.5% (464)
37.2% (468)
By Period
Bonino
Thompson
P1
54.1%
37.7%
P2
49.7%
43.4%
P3
50.7%
39.5%
OT
40.0%
27.3%
Final 5 min
50.6%
39.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.4%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
40.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2022 | 3 | 16:01 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 3 | 15:53 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 3 | 12:59 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 1 | 06:03 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 2, 2021 | 3 | 17:59 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |