Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 50.8% vs Thompson 44.0% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 82.6%
Defensive zone
Thompson 54.4%
Neutral zone
Thompson 66.7%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 71.6%
28.4%
71.6%
Bonino
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Bonino
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
2
Bonino
Thompson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
0
Bonino
Thompson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Bonino
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (305)
44.6% (709)
+7.2%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (101)
35.1% (97)
+13.4%
On penalty kill, Bonino has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Bonino is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (153).
Bonino shoots left. Thompson is 39.9% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Bonino
Thompson
Home
53.1% (177)
45.5% (426)
Away
49.3% (229)
41.1% (433)
By Period
Bonino
Thompson
P1
55.9%
48.5%
P2
49.6%
43.8%
P3
47.6%
38.1%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
42.7%
37.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.0%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 15:10 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 2 | 13:26 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 1 | 10:33 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 1 | 04:59 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |