Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.0% vs 50.2%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 50.8% vs Johnston 50.1% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnston 64.8%
Defensive zone
Bonino 59.2%
Neutral zone
Bonino 53.2%
Result
Wyatt Johnston favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Bonino
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Bonino
Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
1
Bonino
Johnston
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
0
Bonino
Johnston
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (305)
50.7% (552)
+1.1%
Penalty Kill
48.5% (101)
43.5% (69)
+5.0%
On penalty kill, Bonino has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Bonino is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (153).
Bonino shoots left. Johnston is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Home / Away
Bonino
Johnston
Home
53.1% (177)
50.3% (342)
Away
49.3% (229)
50.0% (292)
By Period
Bonino
Johnston
P1
55.9%
54.4%
P2
49.6%
47.2%
P3
47.6%
49.4%
OT
100.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
42.7%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.0%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2023 | 3 | 03:59 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 1 | 09:32 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |