Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.0% vs 49.1%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 50.0% vs Johnston 49.1% (+0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bonino 51.0%
Defensive zone
Bonino 58.1%
Neutral zone
Bonino 51.7%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Bonino
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Bonino
Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
1
Bonino
Johnston
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
0
Bonino
Johnston
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (8,315)
49.3% (2,189)
+1.3%
Power Play
54.1% (972)
52.6% (173)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (1,693)
44.7% (237)
-0.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Bonino is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,070).
Bonino shoots left. Johnston is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,967).
Home / Away
Bonino
Johnston
Home
51.2% (5,507)
49.2% (1,319)
Away
48.8% (5,480)
49.0% (1,280)
By Period
Bonino
Johnston
P1
50.6%
50.1%
P2
48.5%
48.3%
P3
51.1%
48.8%
OT
45.7%
51.6%
Final 5 min
50.6%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.0%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2023 | 3 | 03:59 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 1 | 09:32 | Offensive | Wyatt Johnston |