Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Girgensons on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 50.4% vs Girgensons 46.7% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Girgensons 56.1%
Defensive zone
Girgensons 55.1%
Neutral zone
Girgensons 56.1%
Result
Zemgus Girgensons favored at 56.0%
44.0%
56.0%
Bonino
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Bonino
Girgensons
Last 7: Bonino 2-5 Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Girgensons
0
2
Bonino
Girgensons
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
0
Bonino
Girgensons
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Girgensons
1
3
Bonino
Girgensons
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (691)
47.3% (298)
+2.9%
Power Play
61.5% (78)
60.0% (5)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (149)
28.1% (32)
+17.5%
On penalty kill, Bonino has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Bonino is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Bonino shoots left. Girgensons is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (204).
Home / Away
Bonino
Girgensons
Home
52.7% (467)
42.1% (152)
Away
48.1% (451)
48.6% (183)
By Period
Bonino
Girgensons
P1
48.9%
49.6%
P2
50.2%
36.6%
P3
51.7%
50.0%
OT
75.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
50.4%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.0%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2016 | 2 | 13:53 | Offensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Mar 29, 2016 | 2 | 13:31 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 29, 2015 | 3 | 17:41 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Oct 29, 2015 | 3 | 17:34 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Oct 29, 2015 | 3 | 08:55 | Offensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Oct 29, 2015 | 2 | 14:57 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Oct 29, 2015 | 1 | 14:25 | Neutral | Zemgus Girgensons |