Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Bonino wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Girgensons shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 48.5% vs Girgensons 46.9% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bonino 62.3%
Defensive zone
Bonino 63.5%
Neutral zone
Bonino 57.0%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 62.9%
62.9%
37.1%
Bonino
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Bonino
Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
0
Bonino
Girgensons
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
1
0
Bonino
Girgensons
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (324)
45.3% (128)
+2.8%
Power Play
57.9% (38)
50.0% (4)
+7.9%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (88)
45.3% (75)
-1.0%
On power play, Bonino has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Bonino is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (272).
Bonino shoots left. Girgensons is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (110).
Home / Away
Bonino
Girgensons
Home
52.0% (244)
41.0% (100)
Away
43.7% (206)
49.5% (107)
By Period
Bonino
Girgensons
P1
48.0%
41.9%
P2
42.9%
53.9%
P3
53.9%
40.0%
OT
66.7%
25.0%
Final 5 min
52.4%
32.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.2%
Girgensons
30.0%▼
43.5%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2022 | 3 | 01:53 | Defensive | Nick Bonino |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 1 | 16:03 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |