Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Girgensons on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 51.2% vs Girgensons 49.9% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bonino 55.1%
Defensive zone
Girgensons 52.4%
Neutral zone
Bonino 50.0%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Bonino
Girgensons
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
3
(3 meetings)
0
3
Bonino
Girgensons
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Girgensons
0
3
Bonino
Girgensons
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Girgensons
Edge
Even Strength
51.7% (777)
49.0% (210)
+2.7%
Power Play
60.0% (50)
63.6% (22)
-3.6%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (98)
47.3% (55)
-3.4%
On power play, Girgensons has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Girgensons shoots left. Bonino is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (629).
Bonino shoots left. Girgensons is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (173).
Home / Away
Bonino
Girgensons
Home
48.2% (461)
52.1% (142)
Away
54.5% (464)
47.6% (145)
By Period
Bonino
Girgensons
P1
54.1%
54.3%
P2
49.7%
49.1%
P3
50.7%
44.8%
OT
40.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.4%
Girgensons
58.0%▲
44.0%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 2022 | 3 | 19:37 | Offensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 3 | 09:25 | Offensive | Zemgus Girgensons |
| Jan 6, 2022 | 2 | 17:44 | Offensive | Zemgus Girgensons |