Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Cousins on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Duchene wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Cousins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Duchene 54.9% vs Cousins 47.3% (+8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cousins 81.8%
Defensive zone
Cousins 74.7%
Neutral zone
Cousins 78.4%
Result
Nick Cousins favored at 79.8%
20.2%
79.8%
Duchene
Cousins
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Duchene
Cousins
Last 5: Duchene 0-5 Cousins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cousins
0
2
Duchene
Cousins
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cousins
0
3
Duchene
Cousins
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Duchene
Cousins
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (1,013)
47.0% (477)
+8.4%
Power Play
56.3% (192)
45.2% (42)
+11.1%
Penalty Kill
41.2% (17)
0.0% (1)
+41.2%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +41.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cousins shoots left. Duchene is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (823).
Duchene shoots left. Cousins is 46.0% vs left-shot opponents (335).
Home / Away
Duchene
Cousins
Home
56.2% (642)
48.3% (234)
Away
54.3% (580)
45.5% (286)
By Period
Duchene
Cousins
P1
56.2%
53.2%
P2
56.5%
43.5%
P3
52.9%
44.8%
OT
64.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.6%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Duchene
52.0%▲
49.5%
55.3%
Cousins
52.0%▲
48.5%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2019 | 3 | 19:50 | Neutral | Nick Cousins |
| Jan 22, 2019 | 3 | 09:28 | Neutral | Nick Cousins |
| Jan 22, 2019 | 3 | 07:35 | Neutral | Nick Cousins |
| Jan 22, 2019 | 2 | 19:00 | Offensive | Nick Cousins |
| Jan 22, 2019 | 1 | 06:45 | Offensive | Nick Cousins |