Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kopitar wins 56.9% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 55.6% vs Foligno 49.8% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 62.6%
Defensive zone
Foligno 78.2%
Neutral zone
Foligno 68.2%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 68.7%
31.3%
68.7%
Kopitar
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Kopitar
Foligno
Last 6: Kopitar 2-4 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
3
Kopitar
Foligno
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
2
0
Kopitar
Foligno
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
1
Kopitar
Foligno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (691)
49.0% (261)
+5.8%
Power Play
64.9% (205)
57.1% (42)
+7.8%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (149)
47.1% (51)
+3.2%
On power play, Kopitar has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Kopitar is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (707).
Kopitar shoots left. Foligno is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (192).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Foligno
Home
56.8% (533)
48.9% (178)
Away
55.5% (512)
50.6% (176)
By Period
Kopitar
Foligno
P1
55.7%
40.4%
P2
57.0%
55.8%
P3
56.0%
51.2%
OT
52.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
56.6%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
66.0%▲
52.5%
56.2%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 19:54 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 19:45 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 19:38 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 19:28 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 19:17 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 11:50 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |