Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Compher on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Compher wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 45.2% vs Foligno 52.0% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Compher leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Foligno 90.5%
Defensive zone
Compher 56.2%
Neutral zone
Foligno 73.5%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 65.0%
35.0%
65.0%
Compher
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Compher
Foligno
Last 10: Compher 6-4 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
2
3
Compher
Foligno
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
5
1
Compher
Foligno
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (782)
53.4% (249)
-7.9%
Power Play
44.2% (77)
53.2% (154)
-9.0%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (180)
40.6% (32)
+1.1%
On power play, Foligno has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Compher is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (750).
Compher shoots right. Foligno is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (192).
Home / Away
Compher
Foligno
Home
44.0% (484)
57.3% (225)
Away
45.4% (555)
47.1% (210)
By Period
Compher
Foligno
P1
46.2%
53.0%
P2
44.8%
51.8%
P3
44.2%
52.6%
Final 5 min
37.8%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
44.8%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2024 | 3 | 16:02 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 3 | 12:40 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 3 | 05:30 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 2 | 11:39 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 1 | 13:05 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 1 | 07:25 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 3 | 14:00 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 16:56 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 10:29 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 01:55 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 1 | 04:13 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |