Scouting Report
Nolan Patrick holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Patrick on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Foligno wins 43.5% vs right-shot opponents — Patrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 46.4% vs Patrick 50.5% (-4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 57.2%
Defensive zone
Foligno 55.4%
Neutral zone
Foligno 59.6%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 58.1%
58.1%
41.9%
Foligno
Patrick
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Foligno
Patrick
Last 9: Foligno 2-7 Patrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Patrick
0
2
Foligno
Patrick
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Patrick
0
2
Foligno
Patrick
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Patrick
2
3
Foligno
Patrick
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Patrick
Edge
Even Strength
46.3% (566)
50.6% (719)
-4.3%
Power Play
43.4% (106)
50.0% (22)
-6.6%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (69)
50.0% (2)
-3.6%
On power play, Patrick has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Patrick shoots right. Foligno is 43.5% vs right-shot opponents (294).
Foligno shoots left. Patrick is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (513).
Home / Away
Foligno
Patrick
Home
48.9% (364)
50.1% (391)
Away
43.0% (377)
51.1% (352)
By Period
Foligno
Patrick
P1
48.7%
54.4%
P2
46.9%
49.3%
P3
44.0%
47.5%
OT
20.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.3%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
45.9%
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2018 | 3 | 12:32 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 3 | 09:49 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 3 | 01:06 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 2 | 01:28 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 3 | 09:02 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 2 | 18:21 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 2 | 03:56 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 1 | 17:08 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 1 | 11:34 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |