Scouting Report
Nolan Patrick holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Patrick on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Foligno wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Patrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 48.6% vs Patrick 51.0% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 55.2%
Defensive zone
Patrick 50.9%
Neutral zone
Foligno 51.3%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 51.7%
51.7%
48.3%
Foligno
Patrick
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Foligno
Patrick
Last 9: Foligno 2-7 Patrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Patrick
0
2
Foligno
Patrick
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Patrick
0
2
Foligno
Patrick
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Patrick
2
3
Foligno
Patrick
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Patrick
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (2,810)
50.6% (1,978)
-2.3%
Power Play
52.3% (730)
57.5% (120)
-5.2%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (455)
57.7% (26)
-13.7%
On penalty kill, Patrick has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Patrick shoots right. Foligno is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,501).
Foligno shoots left. Patrick is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,441).
Home / Away
Foligno
Patrick
Home
49.9% (2,013)
49.7% (1,106)
Away
47.2% (1,984)
52.5% (1,018)
By Period
Foligno
Patrick
P1
47.6%
52.9%
P2
50.4%
49.1%
P3
48.3%
51.3%
OT
29.7%
40.0%
Final 5 min
52.3%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.6%
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2018 | 3 | 12:32 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 3 | 09:49 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 3 | 01:06 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 15, 2018 | 2 | 01:28 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 3 | 09:02 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 2 | 18:21 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 2 | 03:56 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 1 | 17:08 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Dec 23, 2017 | 1 | 11:34 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |