Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 51.8% vs Patrick 48.9% (+8.1%)
Offensive zone
Patrick 52.5%
Defensive zone
Foligno 52.2%
Neutral zone
Patrick 53.3%
Result
Nolan Patrick favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
Foligno
Patrick
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Patrick
Edge
Even Strength
58.1% (31)
47.4% (156)
+10.7%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
56.3% (16)
-6.3%
On even strength, Foligno has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Patrick shoots right. Foligno is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (19).
Foligno shoots left. Patrick is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (112).
Home / Away
Foligno
Patrick
Home
56.3% (16)
43.8% (96)
Away
56.5% (23)
53.9% (76)
By Period
Foligno
Patrick
P1
50.0%
44.4%
P2
66.7%
45.6%
P3
54.5%
56.0%
Final 5 min
100.0%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
56.4%
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
48.3%