Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Foligno wins 46.6% vs right-shot opponents — Kapanen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 48.6% vs Kapanen 47.5% (+1.5%)
Offensive zone
Foligno 52.5%
Defensive zone
Foligno 50.8%
Neutral zone
Kapanen 50.3%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Foligno
Kapanen
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Kapanen
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (2,810)
47.2% (559)
+1.1%
Power Play
52.3% (730)
51.0% (51)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (455)
39.5% (38)
+4.5%
On penalty kill, Foligno has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kapanen shoots right. Foligno is 46.6% vs right-shot opponents (1,501).
Foligno shoots left. Kapanen is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (482).
Home / Away
Foligno
Kapanen
Home
49.9% (2,013)
47.1% (340)
Away
47.2% (1,984)
47.1% (308)
By Period
Foligno
Kapanen
P1
47.6%
42.7%
P2
50.4%
50.2%
P3
48.3%
48.2%
OT
29.7%
25.0%
Final 5 min
52.3%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.6%
Kapanen
48.0%▬
48.5%
47.1%