Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.5% vs 47.7%). Foligno wins 46.5% vs right-shot opponents — Kapanen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 48.5% vs Kapanen 48.0% (+0.8%)
Offensive zone
Foligno 56.6%
Defensive zone
Foligno 51.2%
Neutral zone
Kapanen 51.3%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Foligno
Kapanen
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Kapanen
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (2,764)
48.1% (495)
+0.2%
Power Play
52.3% (723)
50.0% (48)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (447)
37.5% (32)
+5.9%
On penalty kill, Foligno has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kapanen shoots right. Foligno is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,469).
Foligno shoots left. Kapanen is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (427).
Home / Away
Foligno
Kapanen
Home
49.8% (1,993)
47.2% (299)
Away
47.1% (1,943)
48.2% (276)
By Period
Foligno
Kapanen
P1
47.9%
42.0%
P2
50.0%
51.4%
P3
48.4%
49.2%
OT
29.7%
25.0%
Final 5 min
52.4%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
40.0%▼
51.0%
48.5%
Kapanen
58.0%▲
47.5%
47.7%