Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Foligno wins 44.4% vs right-shot opponents — Kapanen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 49.8% vs Kapanen 47.8% (+2.2%)
Offensive zone
Kapanen 64.5%
Defensive zone
Foligno 67.9%
Neutral zone
Kapanen 52.4%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Foligno
Kapanen
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Kapanen
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (261)
47.5% (514)
+1.5%
Power Play
57.1% (42)
55.0% (40)
+2.1%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (51)
39.5% (38)
+7.6%
On penalty kill, Foligno has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kapanen shoots right. Foligno is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (162).
Foligno shoots left. Kapanen is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (438).
Home / Away
Foligno
Kapanen
Home
48.9% (178)
47.9% (307)
Away
50.6% (176)
47.0% (285)
By Period
Foligno
Kapanen
P1
40.4%
42.7%
P2
55.8%
51.4%
P3
51.2%
48.4%
OT
33.3%
25.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Kapanen
48.0%▬
48.5%
47.5%