Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 48.6% vs Sundqvist 46.1% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 71.2%
Defensive zone
Foligno 57.8%
Neutral zone
Foligno 56.6%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 57.2%
57.2%
42.8%
Foligno
Sundqvist
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Foligno
Sundqvist
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
1
0
Foligno
Sundqvist
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Foligno
1
0
Foligno
Sundqvist
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Sundqvist
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (495)
45.0% (500)
+3.7%
Power Play
56.9% (65)
54.5% (22)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (144)
46.0% (50)
-2.2%
On even strength, Foligno has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sundqvist shoots right. Foligno is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (198).
Foligno shoots left. Sundqvist is 44.5% vs left-shot opponents (425).
Home / Away
Foligno
Sundqvist
Home
49.6% (359)
45.5% (255)
Away
47.2% (345)
45.4% (317)
By Period
Foligno
Sundqvist
P1
46.7%
40.9%
P2
52.7%
46.9%
P3
46.7%
48.4%
OT
33.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
55.8%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
40.0%▼
51.0%
48.4%
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 08:10 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 07:43 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |