Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Foligno wins 44.4% vs right-shot opponents — Sundqvist shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 49.8% vs Sundqvist 47.6% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 81.2%
Defensive zone
Foligno 63.3%
Neutral zone
Foligno 66.3%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 77.5%
77.5%
22.5%
Foligno
Sundqvist
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
0
(4 meetings)
4
0
Foligno
Sundqvist
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
3
0
Foligno
Sundqvist
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Foligno
1
0
Foligno
Sundqvist
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Sundqvist
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (261)
46.8% (301)
+2.2%
Power Play
57.1% (42)
80.0% (10)
-22.9%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (51)
43.5% (85)
+3.6%
On power play, Sundqvist has a +22.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sundqvist shoots right. Foligno is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (162).
Foligno shoots left. Sundqvist is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (291).
Home / Away
Foligno
Sundqvist
Home
48.9% (178)
46.0% (189)
Away
50.6% (176)
47.8% (207)
By Period
Foligno
Sundqvist
P1
40.4%
44.7%
P2
55.8%
47.6%
P3
51.2%
48.6%
OT
33.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 14:06 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 2 | 17:24 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 2 | 06:38 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 2 | 03:09 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |