Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 51.8% vs Thomas 49.9% (+6.5%)
Offensive zone
Thomas 56.3%
Defensive zone
Thomas 50.9%
Neutral zone
Thomas 56.0%
Result
Robert Thomas favored at 54.4%
45.6%
54.4%
Foligno
Thomas
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
58.1% (31)
49.0% (910)
+9.1%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
53.5% (142)
-3.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
53.3% (75)
-3.3%
On even strength, Foligno has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Foligno is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (19).
Foligno shoots left. Thomas is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
Foligno
Thomas
Home
56.3% (16)
47.3% (514)
Away
56.5% (23)
52.0% (613)
By Period
Foligno
Thomas
P1
50.0%
50.4%
P2
66.7%
47.5%
P3
54.5%
51.4%
Final 5 min
100.0%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
56.4%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
49.9%