Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 48.6% vs Thomas 54.5% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Thomas leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Foligno 56.7%
Defensive zone
Foligno 67.4%
Neutral zone
Foligno 60.7%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 61.4%
61.4%
38.6%
Foligno
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
7
(11 meetings)
4
7
Foligno
Thomas
Last 10: Foligno 4-6 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
3
Foligno
Thomas
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
2
1
Foligno
Thomas
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
2
3
Foligno
Thomas
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (495)
55.3% (990)
-6.6%
Power Play
56.9% (65)
54.2% (190)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (144)
52.5% (158)
-8.7%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. Foligno is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (198).
Foligno shoots left. Thomas is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (994).
Home / Away
Foligno
Thomas
Home
49.6% (359)
55.1% (690)
Away
47.2% (345)
54.5% (648)
By Period
Foligno
Thomas
P1
46.7%
55.5%
P2
52.7%
56.4%
P3
46.7%
51.5%
OT
33.3%
69.0%
Final 5 min
55.8%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 19:06 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 2 | 04:19 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 8, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 16:09 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 15:46 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 06:39 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 06:31 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 06:08 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 11:58 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 09:25 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |