Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.4% vs 51.6%). Foligno wins 56.4% vs left-shot opponents — Colton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 52.0% vs Colton 51.4% (+0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 79.9%
Defensive zone
Colton 70.4%
Neutral zone
Foligno 55.1%
Result
Ross Colton favored at 70.4%
29.6%
70.4%
Foligno
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Foligno
Colton
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
1
0
Foligno
Colton
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (249)
52.1% (741)
+1.3%
Power Play
53.2% (154)
48.3% (60)
+4.9%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (32)
42.1% (19)
-1.5%
On power play, Foligno has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Foligno is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Foligno shoots left. Colton is 53.4% vs left-shot opponents (551).
Home / Away
Foligno
Colton
Home
57.3% (225)
54.0% (411)
Away
47.1% (210)
49.1% (409)
By Period
Foligno
Colton
P1
53.0%
56.7%
P2
51.8%
53.1%
P3
52.6%
46.3%
Final 5 min
53.3%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
52.4%
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2024 | 1 | 16:49 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |