Scouting Report
Ross Colton holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 48.6% vs Colton 51.0% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 52.1%
Defensive zone
Colton 66.6%
Neutral zone
Colton 61.3%
Result
Ross Colton favored at 59.5%
40.5%
59.5%
Foligno
Colton
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Foligno
Colton
Last 6: Foligno 5-1 Colton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Foligno
Colton
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
3
0
Foligno
Colton
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Foligno
1
0
Foligno
Colton
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Colton
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (2,810)
51.6% (1,800)
-3.3%
Power Play
52.3% (730)
48.8% (162)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (455)
34.5% (29)
+9.5%
On penalty kill, Foligno has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Colton shoots left. Foligno is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,496).
Foligno shoots left. Colton is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,295).
Home / Away
Foligno
Colton
Home
49.9% (2,013)
51.9% (1,013)
Away
47.2% (1,984)
50.2% (978)
By Period
Foligno
Colton
P1
47.6%
53.5%
P2
50.4%
52.6%
P3
48.3%
47.9%
OT
29.7%
25.0%
Final 5 min
52.3%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.6%
Colton
44.0%▲
42.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | 3 | 07:01 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 4, 2024 | 1 | 16:49 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 1 | 19:31 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Apr 1, 2021 | 2 | 02:34 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 3 | 09:16 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 30, 2021 | 2 | 12:14 | Offensive | Ross Colton |