Scouting Report
Ryan Poehling holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 48.6% vs Poehling 50.8% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 53.2%
Defensive zone
Poehling 69.0%
Neutral zone
Poehling 63.0%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Foligno
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Foligno
Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Foligno
Poehling
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
1
0
Foligno
Poehling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (495)
52.6% (622)
-3.9%
Power Play
56.9% (65)
58.3% (12)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (144)
39.8% (103)
+4.0%
On penalty kill, Foligno has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Foligno is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (506).
Foligno shoots left. Poehling is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (505).
Home / Away
Foligno
Poehling
Home
49.6% (359)
53.2% (393)
Away
47.2% (345)
48.3% (344)
By Period
Foligno
Poehling
P1
46.7%
50.9%
P2
52.7%
56.2%
P3
46.7%
46.1%
OT
33.3%
33.3%
Final 5 min
55.8%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2025 | 3 | 04:32 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 2 | 09:13 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 02:05 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |