Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.6% vs 48.1%). Look for Poehling on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 48.6% vs Poehling 48.1% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 76.3%
Defensive zone
Poehling 75.2%
Neutral zone
Poehling 51.4%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 58.1%
41.9%
58.1%
Foligno
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Foligno
Poehling
Last 9: Foligno 4-5 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
2
1
Foligno
Poehling
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
2
4
Foligno
Poehling
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (2,810)
49.4% (2,726)
-1.1%
Power Play
52.3% (730)
51.6% (93)
+0.7%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (455)
41.6% (623)
+2.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Foligno is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,496).
Foligno shoots left. Poehling is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,301).
Home / Away
Foligno
Poehling
Home
49.9% (2,013)
49.3% (1,688)
Away
47.2% (1,984)
46.9% (1,754)
By Period
Foligno
Poehling
P1
47.6%
50.9%
P2
50.4%
47.0%
P3
48.3%
46.9%
OT
29.7%
37.9%
Final 5 min
52.3%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.6%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2025 | 3 | 04:32 | Offensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 23, 2025 | 2 | 09:13 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 02:05 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 13:32 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 10:05 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 2 | 16:39 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 3 | 02:51 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 2 | 07:05 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 21, 2024 | 1 | 05:05 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |