Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Foligno wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 49.8% vs Bennett 48.3% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 64.8%
Defensive zone
Foligno 79.6%
Neutral zone
Foligno 57.6%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 64.9%
64.9%
35.1%
Foligno
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Foligno
Bennett
Last 6: Foligno 5-1 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
1
Foligno
Bennett
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
3
0
Foligno
Bennett
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Foligno
2
0
Foligno
Bennett
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (261)
46.4% (780)
+2.6%
Power Play
57.1% (42)
57.3% (150)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (51)
47.8% (46)
-0.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Foligno is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (192).
Foligno shoots left. Bennett is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (652).
Home / Away
Foligno
Bennett
Home
48.9% (178)
50.3% (519)
Away
50.6% (176)
45.7% (457)
By Period
Foligno
Bennett
P1
40.4%
47.5%
P2
55.8%
46.6%
P3
51.2%
49.8%
OT
33.3%
70.0%
Final 5 min
53.8%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | 2 | 19:45 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 25, 2026 | 2 | 19:30 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 25, 2026 | 2 | 07:26 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 7, 2025 | 3 | 10:45 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 7, 2025 | 3 | 10:41 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 7, 2025 | 2 | 11:31 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |