Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 48.6% vs Bennett 47.2% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Foligno leads 12-7 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Foligno 53.5%
Defensive zone
Foligno 55.7%
Neutral zone
Foligno 51.0%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Foligno
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
7
(19 meetings)
12
7
Foligno
Bennett
Last 10: Foligno 8-2 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Foligno
Bennett
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
4
1
Foligno
Bennett
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Foligno
6
4
Foligno
Bennett
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (2,810)
46.8% (5,683)
+1.5%
Power Play
52.3% (730)
53.7% (555)
-1.4%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (455)
41.8% (256)
+2.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Foligno is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,496).
Foligno shoots left. Bennett is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,232).
Home / Away
Foligno
Bennett
Home
49.9% (2,013)
48.4% (3,262)
Away
47.2% (1,984)
45.9% (3,232)
By Period
Foligno
Bennett
P1
47.6%
48.0%
P2
50.4%
46.5%
P3
48.3%
46.9%
OT
29.7%
52.5%
Final 5 min
52.3%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.6%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | 2 | 19:45 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 25, 2026 | 2 | 19:30 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 25, 2026 | 2 | 07:26 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 7, 2025 | 3 | 10:45 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 7, 2025 | 3 | 10:41 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 7, 2025 | 2 | 11:31 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 3 | 15:33 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 3 | 14:08 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 3 | 10:53 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 3 | 01:52 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 2 | 10:07 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 1 | 18:19 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 1 | 15:44 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 1 | 13:04 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 1 | 02:46 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 21, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Bennett |
| Nov 12, 2023 | 3 | 18:48 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |