Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.1% vs 49.1%). Foligno wins 54.0% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 49.4% vs Kuraly 49.2% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 53.0%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 65.4%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 58.0%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 65.4%
34.6%
65.4%
Foligno
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Foligno
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
1
0
Foligno
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (215)
50.8% (370)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (43)
44.1% (127)
-2.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Foligno is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (163).
Foligno shoots left. Kuraly is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (303).
Home / Away
Foligno
Kuraly
Home
47.5% (158)
52.8% (269)
Away
51.1% (135)
44.7% (228)
By Period
Foligno
Kuraly
P1
42.7%
53.2%
P2
51.4%
45.8%
P3
51.9%
47.9%
Final 5 min
55.3%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
40.0%▼
51.0%
49.1%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
53.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 09:18 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |