Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 49.9% vs Kuraly 51.0% (-1.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 66.0%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 53.8%
Neutral zone
Foligno 55.4%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 59.9%
59.9%
40.1%
Foligno
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Foligno
Kuraly
Last 5: Foligno 2-3 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
3
Foligno
Kuraly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
1
0
Foligno
Kuraly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Foligno
1
0
Foligno
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
49.5% (291)
52.6% (464)
-3.1%
Power Play
55.8% (43)
100.0% (1)
-44.2%
Penalty Kill
47.2% (53)
46.5% (155)
+0.7%
On power play, Kuraly has a +44.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Foligno is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (208).
Foligno shoots left. Kuraly is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (385).
Home / Away
Foligno
Kuraly
Home
48.9% (178)
55.9% (322)
Away
50.7% (209)
46.0% (298)
By Period
Foligno
Kuraly
P1
43.0%
55.9%
P2
55.9%
46.7%
P3
50.0%
50.7%
OT
33.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
51.5%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
50.0%
49.9%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 00:07 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 14:00 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 05:32 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 05:29 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 09:18 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |