Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Foligno wins 56.4% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 52.0% vs Kuraly 48.4% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 82.4%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 84.9%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 51.3%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 65.6%
65.6%
34.4%
Foligno
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Foligno
Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
1
0
Foligno
Kuraly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Foligno
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (249)
49.4% (445)
+4.0%
Power Play
53.2% (154)
100.0% (3)
-46.8%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (32)
41.9% (117)
-1.3%
On power play, Kuraly has a +46.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Foligno is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Foligno shoots left. Kuraly is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (354).
Home / Away
Foligno
Kuraly
Home
57.3% (225)
49.2% (248)
Away
47.1% (210)
47.3% (317)
By Period
Foligno
Kuraly
P1
53.0%
48.3%
P2
51.8%
44.7%
P3
52.6%
51.7%
Final 5 min
53.3%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
50.0%
52.4%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 18:23 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 12:07 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |