Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 48.6% vs Kuraly 50.4% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Foligno leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Foligno 72.1%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 89.3%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 63.9%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Foligno
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Foligno
Kuraly
Last 10: Foligno 6-4 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
2
3
Foligno
Kuraly
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
1
0
Foligno
Kuraly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Foligno
4
1
Foligno
Kuraly
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
48.3% (2,840)
51.6% (5,161)
-3.3%
Power Play
52.3% (731)
56.4% (101)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (457)
44.4% (1,091)
-0.4%
On power play, Kuraly has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Foligno is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,512).
Foligno shoots left. Kuraly is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (4,119).
Home / Away
Foligno
Kuraly
Home
49.9% (2,013)
52.1% (3,205)
Away
47.2% (2,017)
48.8% (3,149)
By Period
Foligno
Kuraly
P1
47.8%
51.2%
P2
50.5%
50.0%
P3
48.2%
50.2%
OT
29.7%
52.3%
Final 5 min
52.1%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
50.0%
48.6%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 00:07 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 14:00 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 05:32 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 05:29 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 2 | 09:18 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 18:23 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 12:07 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 19, 2018 | 2 | 16:32 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 19, 2018 | 2 | 07:28 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 19, 2018 | 1 | 06:05 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 30, 2017 | 3 | 09:30 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |