Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Foligno wins 56.4% vs left-shot opponents — Crosby shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 52.0% vs Crosby 57.8% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Crosby 82.0%
Defensive zone
Crosby 77.5%
Neutral zone
Crosby 73.6%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 79.8%
20.2%
79.8%
Foligno
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Foligno
Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
1
0
Foligno
Crosby
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
1
0
Foligno
Crosby
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (249)
57.8% (1,437)
-4.4%
Power Play
53.2% (154)
60.9% (381)
-7.7%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (32)
50.0% (54)
-9.4%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Foligno is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Foligno shoots left. Crosby is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,257).
Home / Away
Foligno
Crosby
Home
57.3% (225)
59.2% (985)
Away
47.1% (210)
57.2% (887)
By Period
Foligno
Crosby
P1
53.0%
57.3%
P2
51.8%
59.5%
P3
52.6%
58.5%
Final 5 min
53.3%
59.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
52.4%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
58.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2024 | 3 | 08:05 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 1 | 06:03 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |