Scouting Report
Sidney Crosby holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Crosby on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 48.6% vs Crosby 56.6% (-8.6%)
H2H factor
Crosby leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Crosby 76.5%
Defensive zone
Foligno 71.0%
Neutral zone
Crosby 52.6%
Result
Sidney Crosby favored at 57.4%
42.6%
57.4%
Foligno
Crosby
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Foligno
Crosby
Last 5: Foligno 4-1 Crosby
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Crosby
0
5
Foligno
Crosby
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
3
0
Foligno
Crosby
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Foligno
2
0
Foligno
Crosby
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Crosby
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (495)
56.2% (1,451)
-7.5%
Power Play
56.9% (65)
61.4% (293)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (144)
55.3% (38)
-11.5%
On penalty kill, Crosby has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Crosby shoots left. Foligno is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (506).
Foligno shoots left. Crosby is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,164).
Home / Away
Foligno
Crosby
Home
49.6% (359)
59.1% (939)
Away
47.2% (345)
54.7% (843)
By Period
Foligno
Crosby
P1
46.7%
54.9%
P2
52.7%
60.8%
P3
46.7%
55.4%
OT
33.3%
53.6%
Final 5 min
55.8%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Crosby
64.0%▲
54.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 14:20 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 09:15 | Offensive | Sidney Crosby |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 19:14 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Apr 6, 2025 | 2 | 17:01 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |