Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Foligno wins 44.4% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 49.8% vs Trocheck 56.0% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Trocheck 78.0%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 54.5%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 66.0%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Foligno
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Foligno
Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
1
0
Foligno
Trocheck
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (261)
57.8% (626)
-8.8%
Power Play
57.1% (42)
63.6% (151)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (51)
44.0% (141)
+3.1%
On even strength, Trocheck has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Foligno is 44.4% vs right-shot opponents (162).
Foligno shoots left. Trocheck is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Foligno
Trocheck
Home
48.9% (178)
54.4% (390)
Away
50.6% (176)
58.3% (528)
By Period
Foligno
Trocheck
P1
40.4%
56.4%
P2
55.8%
58.7%
P3
51.2%
54.8%
OT
33.3%
57.1%
Final 5 min
53.8%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 14:21 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |