Scouting Report
Nick Foligno holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 51.8% vs Trocheck 54.3% (+1.8%)
Offensive zone
Foligno 54.4%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 58.2%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 52.1%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 52.0%
48.0%
52.0%
Foligno
Trocheck
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
58.1% (31)
54.3% (955)
+3.8%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
64.6% (96)
-14.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (6)
51.0% (194)
-1.0%
On power play, Trocheck has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Foligno is 57.9% vs right-shot opponents (19).
Foligno shoots left. Trocheck is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (904).
Home / Away
Foligno
Trocheck
Home
56.3% (16)
58.3% (604)
Away
56.5% (23)
51.2% (641)
By Period
Foligno
Trocheck
P1
50.0%
53.9%
P2
66.7%
55.7%
P3
54.5%
54.3%
Final 5 min
100.0%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
56.4%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
54.6%