Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.6% vs 56.1%). Foligno wins 56.3% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 52.3% vs Trocheck 55.6% (-0.5%)
Offensive zone
Trocheck 50.9%
Defensive zone
Foligno 58.1%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 54.1%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
Foligno
Trocheck
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
52.0% (50)
55.0% (956)
-3.0%
Power Play
66.7% (21)
59.8% (266)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
56.3% (64)
-56.3%
On penalty kill, Trocheck has a +56.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Foligno is 56.3% vs right-shot opponents (32).
Foligno shoots left. Trocheck is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Home / Away
Foligno
Trocheck
Home
51.2% (41)
57.7% (673)
Away
61.3% (31)
54.3% (613)
By Period
Foligno
Trocheck
P1
55.6%
55.4%
P2
48.0%
55.6%
P3
65.0%
56.4%
Final 5 min
81.3%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
55.6%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
56.1%