Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Trocheck on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Foligno wins 44.6% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Foligno 46.3% vs Trocheck 55.4% (-11.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 80.0%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 51.3%
Neutral zone
Foligno 66.5%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 62.1%
62.1%
37.9%
Foligno
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Foligno
Trocheck
Last 6: Foligno 2-4 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
2
0
Foligno
Trocheck
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
3
Foligno
Trocheck
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
0
1
Foligno
Trocheck
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Foligno
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
44.0% (159)
56.5% (598)
-12.5%
Power Play
54.9% (51)
61.5% (52)
-6.6%
Penalty Kill
37.3% (51)
51.3% (119)
-14.0%
On penalty kill, Trocheck has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Foligno is 44.6% vs right-shot opponents (92).
Foligno shoots left. Trocheck is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (584).
Home / Away
Foligno
Trocheck
Home
43.0% (142)
57.4% (376)
Away
47.1% (119)
54.7% (393)
By Period
Foligno
Trocheck
P1
47.8%
53.6%
P2
42.6%
60.3%
P3
46.2%
55.1%
OT
20.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
51.9%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
44.8%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2021 | 3 | 11:35 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 3 | 07:22 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 2 | 08:15 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 7, 2021 | 3 | 19:21 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 7, 2021 | 3 | 18:35 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Feb 7, 2021 | 3 | 13:01 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |