Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Malkin 48.7% vs Paul 53.9% (-5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Malkin 83.8%
Defensive zone
Malkin 61.3%
Neutral zone
Malkin 69.5%
Result
Evgeni Malkin favored at 74.5%
74.5%
25.5%
Malkin
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Malkin
Paul
Last 7: Malkin 2-5 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
1
2
Malkin
Paul
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
0
1
Malkin
Paul
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
1
2
Malkin
Paul
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Malkin
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (776)
53.1% (710)
-5.2%
Power Play
66.7% (24)
57.3% (199)
+9.4%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
58.0% (69)
+42.0%
On penalty kill, Malkin has a +42.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Malkin is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (541).
Malkin shoots left. Paul is 58.1% vs left-shot opponents (623).
Home / Away
Malkin
Paul
Home
49.6% (405)
56.0% (466)
Away
47.5% (396)
52.7% (512)
By Period
Malkin
Paul
P1
49.6%
57.2%
P2
47.2%
54.9%
P3
48.5%
51.5%
OT
100.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
48.3%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Malkin
36.0%▼
46.0%
48.6%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2024 | 3 | 06:11 | Neutral | Evgeni Malkin |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 3 | 00:15 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 2 | 01:24 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 2 | 01:17 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 1 | 00:10 | Offensive | Evgeni Malkin |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 19:24 | Neutral | Nick Paul |