Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Paul on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Eichel wins 44.0% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Eichel 45.8% vs Paul 53.4% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eichel 67.5%
Defensive zone
Eichel 71.5%
Neutral zone
Eichel 72.2%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 69.5%
69.5%
30.5%
Eichel
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Eichel
Paul
Last 9: Eichel 2-7 Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Paul
1
4
Eichel
Paul
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
1
0
Eichel
Paul
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
0
3
Eichel
Paul
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Eichel
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (708)
53.8% (753)
-8.3%
Power Play
51.9% (54)
58.9% (90)
-7.0%
Penalty Kill
29.0% (31)
47.4% (78)
-18.4%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +18.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Eichel is 44.0% vs left-shot opponents (591).
Eichel shoots right. Paul is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (342).
Home / Away
Eichel
Paul
Home
46.1% (388)
54.2% (450)
Away
44.4% (405)
53.3% (471)
By Period
Eichel
Paul
P1
46.8%
58.2%
P2
43.4%
50.6%
P3
45.4%
52.9%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
44.3%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.3%
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2023 | 3 | 07:23 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Mar 9, 2023 | 2 | 14:01 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 3 | 09:51 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 19:44 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 2 | 11:46 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 14:20 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 10:51 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 10:43 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 18, 2023 | 1 | 01:33 | Offensive | Nick Paul |