Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 50.4% vs Bergeron 61.2% (-11.5%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 14-7 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Paul 74.8%
Defensive zone
Paul 90.2%
Neutral zone
Paul 83.0%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 82.7%
82.7%
17.3%
Paul
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
14
(21 meetings)
7
14
Paul
Bergeron
Last 10: Paul 3-7 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
1
6
Paul
Bergeron
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Paul
4
3
Paul
Bergeron
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
2
5
Paul
Bergeron
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (644)
63.8% (1,102)
-10.8%
Power Play
37.5% (24)
65.3% (288)
-27.8%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (177)
47.6% (210)
-4.7%
On power play, Bergeron has a +27.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Paul is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (386).
Paul shoots left. Bergeron is 63.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,126).
Home / Away
Paul
Bergeron
Home
52.5% (516)
62.5% (882)
Away
47.1% (329)
61.3% (718)
By Period
Paul
Bergeron
P1
47.6%
62.5%
P2
48.4%
62.7%
P3
54.5%
60.6%
OT
100.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
49.0%
61.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.5%
50.4%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
61.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2022 | 2 | 12:08 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Apr 8, 2022 | 1 | 15:59 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 8, 2022 | 1 | 04:38 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 19, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 3 | 15:52 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 3 | 10:23 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 3 | 10:19 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 3 | 04:50 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 3 | 00:34 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 2 | 15:59 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 2 | 14:11 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 2 | 10:39 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 2 | 06:45 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 1 | 15:50 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 1 | 12:38 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 1 | 10:13 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 1 | 06:26 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 1 | 03:18 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 19, 2022 | 1 | 03:01 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 3 | 18:18 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |