Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 53.4% vs Bergeron 60.5% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Paul 79.7%
Defensive zone
Paul 80.9%
Neutral zone
Paul 81.3%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 80.4%
80.4%
19.6%
Paul
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
10
(15 meetings)
5
10
Paul
Bergeron
Last 10: Paul 3-7 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
2
5
Paul
Bergeron
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
2
5
Paul
Bergeron
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
1
0
Paul
Bergeron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (753)
62.5% (1,109)
-8.7%
Power Play
58.9% (90)
62.2% (352)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (78)
53.5% (245)
-6.1%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +8.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Paul is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (342).
Paul shoots left. Bergeron is 63.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,178).
Home / Away
Paul
Bergeron
Home
54.2% (450)
61.9% (917)
Away
53.3% (471)
60.2% (789)
By Period
Paul
Bergeron
P1
58.2%
60.8%
P2
50.6%
60.3%
P3
52.9%
63.0%
OT
50.0%
51.5%
Final 5 min
49.6%
58.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
53.7%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
61.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2023 | 3 | 06:30 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 17:38 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 2 | 04:29 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 1 | 10:03 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 1 | 09:53 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 3 | 01:48 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 2 | 13:42 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 16:05 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 09:54 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 07:53 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 07:43 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 02:56 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 01:30 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 2 | 03:41 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 18:49 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |