Scouting Report
Nick Paul holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Suter on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Paul wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Suter shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Paul 53.4% vs Suter 47.4% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suter 59.0%
Defensive zone
Suter 55.8%
Neutral zone
Suter 56.0%
Result
Pius Suter favored at 57.7%
42.3%
57.7%
Paul
Suter
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Paul
Suter
Last 7: Paul 3-4 Suter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suter
1
3
Paul
Suter
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Suter
0
1
Paul
Suter
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Paul
2
0
Paul
Suter
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Paul
Suter
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (753)
48.0% (421)
+5.8%
Power Play
58.9% (90)
50.0% (4)
+8.9%
Penalty Kill
47.4% (78)
31.3% (32)
+16.1%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +16.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suter shoots left. Paul is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (579).
Paul shoots left. Suter is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Home / Away
Paul
Suter
Home
54.2% (450)
48.6% (183)
Away
53.3% (471)
45.6% (274)
By Period
Paul
Suter
P1
58.2%
47.1%
P2
50.6%
47.3%
P3
52.9%
46.1%
Final 5 min
49.6%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Paul
54.0%▬
54.0%
53.7%
Suter
48.0%▬
47.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2023 | 3 | 02:13 | Offensive | Nick Paul |
| Feb 25, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 3 | 17:27 | Neutral | Nick Paul |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 3 | 15:50 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 2 | 08:59 | Defensive | Pius Suter |
| Dec 21, 2022 | 1 | 14:57 | Offensive | Pius Suter |
| Dec 6, 2022 | 3 | 07:31 | Offensive | Pius Suter |