Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +12.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings). Henrique wins 55.7% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 54.6% vs Schmaltz 44.0% (+12.6%)
H2H factor
Henrique leads 15-8 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Henrique 81.6%
Defensive zone
Henrique 93.6%
Neutral zone
Henrique 91.4%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 89.2%
89.2%
10.8%
Henrique
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
8
(23 meetings)
15
8
Henrique
Schmaltz
Last 10: Henrique 6-4 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
3
4
Henrique
Schmaltz
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
8
0
Henrique
Schmaltz
8 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Henrique
Schmaltz
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (445)
42.5% (485)
+12.1%
Power Play
61.3% (75)
45.1% (51)
+16.2%
Penalty Kill
51.9% (27)
100.0% (1)
-48.1%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +48.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Henrique is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (174).
Henrique shoots left. Schmaltz is 42.5% vs left-shot opponents (419).
Home / Away
Henrique
Schmaltz
Home
58.1% (310)
45.0% (258)
Away
51.9% (237)
40.9% (279)
By Period
Henrique
Schmaltz
P1
56.1%
47.0%
P2
53.6%
42.7%
P3
55.7%
38.4%
OT
71.4%
57.1%
Final 5 min
55.2%
47.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
55.4%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2021 | 3 | 18:19 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 3 | 09:37 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 2 | 12:14 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 2 | 12:06 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 2 | 00:18 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 1 | 08:58 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 4, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 1 | 19:01 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Apr 2, 2021 | 1 | 12:12 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 17:15 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 00:36 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 1 | 14:31 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 1 | 07:38 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 1 | 03:16 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 28, 2021 | 1 | 00:24 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 3 | 17:32 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 3 | 10:27 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 26, 2021 | 3 | 08:15 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |