Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Henrique wins 56.4% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.0% vs Schmaltz 42.8% (+12.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 68.9%
Defensive zone
Henrique 92.9%
Neutral zone
Henrique 90.0%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 83.3%
83.3%
16.7%
Henrique
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Henrique
Schmaltz
Last 5: Henrique 4-1 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Henrique
Schmaltz
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
3
0
Henrique
Schmaltz
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (725)
38.5% (309)
+16.9%
Power Play
50.6% (156)
53.2% (79)
-2.6%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (202)
25.0% (12)
+22.5%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +22.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Henrique is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (390).
Henrique shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (309).
Home / Away
Henrique
Schmaltz
Home
56.4% (553)
38.0% (184)
Away
50.0% (530)
43.5% (216)
By Period
Henrique
Schmaltz
P1
51.7%
40.3%
P2
55.5%
39.9%
P3
52.5%
40.7%
OT
66.7%
70.0%
Final 5 min
55.1%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
52.0%▬
52.5%
53.3%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
41.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2024 | 2 | 04:47 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 1 | 19:44 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 1 | 19:31 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 1 | 16:40 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 1 | 16:17 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |