Scouting Report
Nick Schmaltz holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Kempe wins 26.1% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 43.7% vs Schmaltz 47.1% (-8.4%)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 61.7%
Defensive zone
Kempe 61.8%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 54.5%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Kempe
Schmaltz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
39.5% (86)
46.5% (484)
-7.0%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
47.5% (99)
-12.9%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
46.7% (15)
-13.4%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +13.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Kempe is 26.1% vs right-shot opponents (46).
Kempe shoots left. Schmaltz is 42.3% vs left-shot opponents (421).
Home / Away
Kempe
Schmaltz
Home
38.9% (54)
45.3% (298)
Away
37.7% (61)
48.0% (300)
By Period
Kempe
Schmaltz
P1
40.5%
40.4%
P2
38.5%
46.8%
P3
33.3%
53.4%
OT
42.9%
0.0%
Final 5 min
40.9%
41.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
32.0%▼
37.0%
38.3%
Schmaltz
40.0%▼
46.0%
46.7%